Graphic showing latest numbers for PA presidential race

PA Presidential Election Survey - October 2024

In the final Muhlenberg College/Morning Call poll of the 2024 election season, VP Harris holds a narrow lead over former President Trump, 49% to 47%, in their contest to secure PA’s 19 Electoral College votes. In the U.S. Senate race in the Commonwealth, incumbent Democrat Casey holds a three-point lead over his GOP challenger McCormick. In terms of their congressional districts, PA voters are close to evenly divided with 47% intending to vote Republican and 46% planning to vote Democrat.

Graph showing 7th Congressional District with leaners, October 2024

PA 7th Congressional Survey - October 2024

A new survey of likely voters in the PA 7th Congressional District shows Congresswoman Susan Wild (D) holding a 51% to 45% lead over State Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R). In the U.S. Senate Race, incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. holds a modest six-point lead over his GOP challenger Dave McCormick among 7th Congressional District voters. The Presidential race is highly contested in the 7th District, with Vice President Kamala Harris holding a narrow 50% to 47% lead over former President Donald Trump.

A chart showing latest survey numbers for presidential election

PA Presidential Election Survey - September 2024

A new survey of registered PA voters shows former President Trump and Vice President Harris locked in a 48% to 48% tie in their contest to secure PA’s coveted 19 Electoral College votes. In the U.S. Senate race in the Commonwealth, incumbent Democrat Casey holds a five-point lead over his Republican challenger McCormick. PA voters are evenly divided in terms of their party preferences within their congressional districts, with 45% intending to vote for each party in their U.S. House race.

Chart from new MCIPO poll showing Trump leading Biden 44 to 41 percent in a PA voter poll in spring 2024.

Spring 2024 — PA Presidential Election Survey

A new survey of registered Pennsylvania voters shows former President Donald Trump with a narrow three point lead over President Joe Biden; incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. with a four point lead over Republican challenger David McCormick; and Biden and Trump in a dead heat when Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is included as an option in the presidential race.

MCIPO chart from Dec. 2023 poll

2023 - December PA Presidential Election Survey

A new survey of registered Pennsylvania voters shows President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in a statistical dead heat; an 11-point lead for current Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro in a hypothetical presidential election matchup with Trump; and that a slim majority of Pennsylvania voters support the establishment of the right to an abortion in the state constitution.

Final 2022 Pennsylvania Midterm Election Survey

The October 24-28 poll from Muhlenberg College and the Morning Call finds Democrat John Fetterman and Republican Mehmet Oz in a dead heat for the U.S. Senate seat and Democrat Josh Shapiro with a double-digit lead over Republican Doug Mastriano in the gubernatorial race.

2022 - Pennsylvania 7th District Poll

An October 12-14 survey from Muhlenberg College and The Morning Call of likely voters in PA's 7th Congressional District finds Congresswoman Susan Wild (D) and challenger Lisa Scheller (R) in a statistical dead heat.

2022 Pennsylvania Midterm Election Survey

A new survey from Muhlenberg College and The Morning Call, September 16-19

2022 - Pennsylvania Electoral Process Survey

Voters in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania remain deeply divided on many aspects of the last presidential election and on the future of electoral processes, according to a new Keep Our Republic/Muhlenberg College poll.

2021 City of Allentown Resident Survey

Muhlenberg College/Morning Call 2021 City of Allentown Resident Survey

Pennsylvania 2020 Post-Election Poll

Muhlenberg College Pennsylvania 2020 Post-Election Poll: January 2021

2020 - Final PA Presidential Election Survey

The final Muhlenberg College/Morning Call poll of the 2020 presidential election season.

2020 - Pennsylvania 7th District Poll

Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Poll: September 2020

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